This is the sixth episode of The Knowledge Project, a podcast aimed at acquiring wisdom through interviews with fascinating people to gain insights into how they think, live, and connect ideas.
On this episode, I'm happy to have Philip Tetlock, professor at the University of Pennsylvania. He's the co-leader of The Good Judgement Project, which is a multi-year forecasting study. He's also the author of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction and Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
The subject of this interview is how we can get better at the art and science of prediction. We dive into what makes some people better at making predictions and how we can learn to improve our ability to guess the future. I hope you enjoy the conversation as much as I did.
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A complete transcript is available for members.
- Perception and Misperception in International Politics
- The Wisdom of Crowds
- Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking
- Think!: Why Crucial Decisions Can't Be Made in the Blink of an Eye